Hmm checked thru forums a bit and came upon the brilliant idea to check to see if the port is actually forwarded.
Its not.
Will come back with more if that not the fix.

Hi first time trying to set up server but I'm having a problem hope its not to stupid of a problem
Any ideas on the cause?
Using Ubuntu server 14.04
$ ./factorio --start-server help
0.000 2016-03-04 15:52:50; Factorio 0.12.25 (Build 17747, linux64)
0.107 Operating system: Linux (Ubuntu 14.04)
0 ...