Recipes with probabilities better handling

[darkfrei]

Can you please add the tool how to define such recipe:
Ingredient: 1 not forged screw
Result with probably: 90% for 1 forged screw, 10% for 1 broken screw, NEVER both, NEVER nothing.

Right now it's impossible to define only one result for multiple results with probabilities.
Sometimes I can get two screws from only one that was processed.

[AmatorPhasma]

+1

that would be awesome, for one of my mods to implement failed production cycle of some intermediates.

[darkfrei]

Maybe also results by mining drills, I want just only one item per second, but randomly.

[eradicator]

I think the last time this was requested the advocatu diaboli counter-argument was: on a statistical level, after a few thousand cycles it doesn't really matter. Not that i can't understand the desire to have perfect control...

[darkfrei]

I think the last time this was requested the advocatu diaboli counter-argument was: on a statistical level, after a few thousand cycles it doesn't really matter. Not that i can't understand the desire to have perfect control...

So if after thousandths of cycles will be the same, why not changing also vanilla to tight way? The uranium enrichment process can give also right amount of results, one result for one ingredient.

[DaveMcW]

When your probability is 0.007, a few thousand cycles is not enough to make the statistics work. Try 20,000 cycles.

[valneq]

When your probability is 0.007, a few thousand cycles is not enough to make the statistics work. Try 20,000 cycles.

This is about how to control the outcome of random recipes, not how to average properly.

As in: how many random numbers should actually be drawn?
Just one? So that depending on it two or three or n different exclusive events will happen.
Or multiple random numbers that are statistically independent? Then multiple events might happen simultaneously.

Whether or not this averages out after millions of random samples is yet another story, but the mere structure of the events may impact the design of the factory handling these events.

[pleegwat]

I think this mainly applies to low-volume high-value recipes. And then particularly cases where a high-value catalyst has a chance to decay - 90% outcome A and 10% outcome B becomes 9% both and 9% neither, and that's particularly punitive if it happens on the first craft.

The question is though, what should the result options be if the odds add up to, say, 110%?