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by nesklein
Wed Apr 22, 2020 2:24 pm
Forum: General discussion
Topic: Confidence level calculation
Replies: 4
Views: 1965

Re: Confidence level calculation

DaveMcW wrote: ↑
Mon Apr 20, 2020 7:48 pm
POISSON.DIST() Excel function

failure_chance = POISSON.DIST(required_number_of_successes, success_chance * number_of_events, TRUE)

failure_chance = POISSON.DIST(40, 0.007 * 7000, TRUE)

failure chance for 7000 cycles = 10.98%
It really helped. Thank you very much.

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