I have the same problem on arch linux.
sway-git 1.10.r7457.d417a8f-1
wlroots-git 0.19.0.r7285.d835fa81-1
nvidia-open 565.57.01-1
What I noticed is that in the steam logs there is this line:
libEGL warning: egl: failed to create dri2 screen

Factorio tries to use the gpu, but fails for some ...